2016 AAPM Annual Meeting
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Session Title: Session in Memory of Donald Herbert: Anne and Donald Herbert Distinguished Lectureship on Modern Statistical Modeling
Question 1: What percentage of published research findings is false?
Reference:J.P.A. Ioannidis. “Why most published research findings are false.” PLOS Medicine 2, no.8 (2005).
Choice A:<5%
Choice B:>5% but <25%
Choice C:>35% but < 50%
Choice D:>50%
Question 2: Breast cancer incidence in 2012 compared to 1972 was:
Reference:Cancer Statistics, 2016. CA Cancer J Clin 2016;66:7-30.
Choice A:Higher.
Choice B:About the same.
Choice C:Lower.
Question 3: Mortality (per capita) from all cancers for males in 2012 compared to 1930 was:
Reference:Cancer Statistics, 2016. CA Cancer J Clin 2016;66:7-30.
Choice A:~50% lower
Choice B:~10% lower
Choice C:About the same.
Choice D:~10% higher.
Question 4: High impact journals are more likely to publish results that later turn out to be false.
Reference:B.Brembs, K.S. Button, M.R. Munafo. “Deep impact: unintended consequences of journal rank.” Frontiers of human neuroscience 7 (2013): 291.
Choice A:False.
Choice B:True.
Question 5: Assuming that 0.1% of women at the time of mammography exam have breast cancer, and that sensitivity and specificity of mammography is 95%, what’s the probability that a woman with a positive test has breast cancer?
Reference: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes%27_theorem
Choice A:~0.19%
Choice B:~1.9%
Choice C:~19%
Choice D:cannot be estimated.
Question 6: Donald E. Herbert, Ph.D.....
Reference:AAPM Report #43
Choice A:Co-invented the Linear-Quadratic (LQ) model and demonstrated, using statistically adequate methods, that it is consistent with available radiobiological and clinical data.
Choice B:Demonstrated, using statistically adequate methods, that the LQ model “doesn’t fit” the relevant data.
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